Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.018482 1.149648 1.293050 1.461756 1.655161 1.870373 2.128574
2025-01-05 0.800139 0.972406 1.176698 1.438019 1.765098 2.163139 2.687552
2025-01-12 0.685267 0.873861 1.109768 1.428811 1.852500 2.400664 3.171400
2025-01-19 0.582804 0.771834 1.018454 1.367131 1.852789 2.513215 3.492873
2025-01-26 0.533217 0.730332 0.997364 1.390317 1.961892 2.775471 4.043692
2025-02-02 0.494362 0.697659 0.982459 1.416907 2.074121 3.049399 4.640756
2025-02-09 0.457453 0.663006 0.959743 1.427299 2.160216 3.290029 5.212818
2025-02-16 0.424992 0.631106 0.936932 1.433387 2.237666 3.522258 5.796689
2025-02-23 0.401852 0.610649 0.928646 1.459786 2.347959 3.816121 6.517879
2025-03-02 0.367553 0.569684 0.884527 1.423534 2.350065 3.928380 6.933392
2025-03-09 0.350855 0.554980 0.880383 1.451900 2.462945 4.240338 7.748068
2025-03-16 0.327587 0.527577 0.853000 1.437710 2.499022 4.418393 8.331466
2025-03-23 0.311229 0.510739 0.842439 1.452877 2.591410 4.713386 9.192631
2025-03-30 0.290310 0.484586 0.813952 1.433478 2.618086 4.888019 9.836588
2025-04-06 0.273081 0.463380 0.792157 1.423848 2.661436 5.098311 10.582677
2025-04-13 0.249577 0.429386 0.745023 1.362451 2.597313 5.085900 10.841673
2025-04-20 0.240499 0.420499 0.742412 1.385544 2.703513 5.433665 11.957111
2025-04-27 0.232551 0.413028 0.741705 1.412034 2.818978 5.813646 13.204282
2025-05-04 0.223068 0.401991 0.733382 1.422386 2.901305 6.130699 14.348606
2025-05-11 0.213755 0.390598 0.723464 1.428451 2.974729 6.435866 15.510369
2025-05-18 0.207460 0.384520 0.723351 1.454749 3.095149 6.862505 17.052342
2025-05-25 0.194637 0.364880 0.695016 1.418636 3.071103 6.946068 17.696599
2025-06-01 0.189588 0.360243 0.696434 1.446893 3.197995 7.408318 19.453155